Beating The Sports Betting Number…Can It Be Done?

Beat The Sports Betting Number!

Beating the is the most challenging skill that most bettors want to learn. They believe that beating the number consistently will boost their win percentage, giving them a higher profit probability.

Beating the can be difficult especially if you have no knowledge about the game, the players, the teams, and everything about betting on sports. Many experts have noted that there are some instances that no matter what game you play, you will always find the numbers in favor of the house. This is also true in casino gambling as well as in slot machines. Perhaps the main difference lies on the fact that the are slightly higher than the numbers on casino gambling that over the long term, the sports bettors can make between 8 to 10 percent back on their original investment.

So if you are one of those who bet on sports for money or profit, I bet you would be happy to know that there are some that may help you beat the sports betting number. One of the most important things you must take note of and do is to search for the most reliable sports books available.

Searching for the most reliable sports books in today’s highly technological era can be quite puzzling, with lots of sports betting sites out there on the web (and offline) claiming to be the most reputed betting portal available. Because of this, it is best for you to read some reviews of the available sports betting sites and develop your around your favorites.

Also remember that the sports betting numbers are generally not determined by the sports books. Rather, the numbers are a measure of likelihood that has been created by the general public opinion of an outcome of a game or match. They are formed based on a number of perception factors and can be changed if too many people are placing bets on one team.

Once you’ve found the right sports books, the next thing to do is to shop for the best sports betting numbers and lines. There will be more discrepancies in the sports betting numbers on different sports at different sports books at different times. For example, in the National Football League (NFL), you may find very similar numbers at most of the football betting shops you visit, while on college sports and daily events like the NBA, there is a possibility that you will find different sports betting number or lines at different sports books. The more games in the season the better your chances of getting varied sports betting numbers. Well, the main cause for such differences is the fact that most sports books change their sports betting numbers or lines according to the betting patterns of their customers. As I’ve said earlier, the sports betting numbers can be skewed if too many bettors are laying their bets on one particular team. As such, it is then not entirely uncommon for you to locate two or three point differences in the numbers once line movements occur. But when you are betting your hard earned money, obtaining the best sports betting numbers must be a top priority. This , when done consistently, always turns a profit.

Many bettors further say that the magic number on sports betting is probably somewhere around five books. However, if you only have one account, obtaining two more sets of lines to look for every game should make a big difference to your game. But, if you are in doubt with your , many professional bettors agree that it is best to bet on the underdog than the favorite. This is a very simple strategy that will make you a money loser in the long run, but for recreational bets this may suffice.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - June 23, 2010 at 10:47 pm

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World Cup 2010–USA Win and You’re In

"The World Cup Goal That Wasnt"

No Goal!!

If you were not much into soccer before that last game, well, maybe you are now. While it appeared the United States scored their 3rd goal of the game, coming down from a 2-0 deficit, the referees thought otherwise and took the goal away. Blasphemy! The spotlight is now on a game and a team that takes the last row of seats to the NFL, NBA, and MLB in the US. Hey, if controversy has to drive interest, I’ll take it.

One win and the United States is in. It is really that simple. Interesting how all of the deciding games will be played simultaneously….and that referee has been ‘benched’. I will be watching very closely to this game against Algeria. Have you become interested? This game doesn’t quite fit into any sports betting systems I employ so it will be a no play for me–can’t say the same for most of the folks I’ll be spending time with tomorrow morning. There will be a lot of money bet on this game and I see the majority of it going to the US for a victory. There might be some small value in the tie. I will be rooting hard for a winner.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - June 22, 2010 at 10:25 am

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Sports Betting Arbitrage–Guaranteed Money (If You Do It Carefully)

is an unknown technique of betting in sports that make guaranteed profits regardless of the outcome of the event. It basically involves taking advantage of the fact that different bookmakers will set different betting odds based on their opinion of the competitors’ relative chance of winning an event. So, to put it simply, sports arbitrage betting is the situation when the prices of the bookmaker differ enough that he or she allows the sports bettors to back all outcomes of the event and still generate a profit in the end-regardless of the outcome.

Also known as sure bets, sure wins or arbs, the can be applied to almost all sort of sporting events. The technique may work in horse and greyhound racing, football, baseball and golf betting. Also, you can even apply your knowledge on arbitrage betting on some of your non-sports events, such as political elections and even on entertainment awards.

There is some excellent reading on the topic that you should consider if you really want to know how to make this work for you–and it DOES work. The first book, , was written by Rajeev Shah. Rajeev has been a trader for more than 15 years and has covered every conceivable arbitrage bet in his industry, 100 times over. The guy knows what he is talking about. Not only is the book written with the understanding that many people looking for this type of information will be new to the subject, but he covers information that the experienced trader may not have been exposed to before. Best of both worlds.

The next book, , written by George Lynam, is mostly for the beginner. Both books should serve as aids while you are setting up your multiple accounts and getting your arbitrage business off the ground

Generally, thousands of people have already used the method of for one particular purpose, that is, to make a profit. They often employ this somehow unknown betting technique knowing that with it, there is no need for any expert knowledge of sports or sports betting. This simply means that with the use of sports arbitrage betting technique, every bettor has the chance to generate profits every time regardless of the outcome of the event or game you bet on.

But, don’t the bookmakers know about this technique? If they do, how do they feel about it?

Well, one thing is for sure: bookmakers do know about . However, they don’t create this situation with their own prices. As you may know, bookmakers are only interested in making money. Since the money of an arbitrageur, a person who practices arbitrage, is as good as any other punter’s and for the fact that that half of all the bets an arbitrageur makes in every sports arbitrage betting will lose, the bookmaker is still likely to value his or her own business. There are also some instances that some of the bookmakers are opposed to the client making money from dealing with them, without bringing upon certain risks. Because of this, many sports arbitrage betting experts recommend taking significant measures to disguise your own arbitraging and not to make it apparent that you are an arbitrageur. Solution? Multiple accounts with multiple sportsbooks and having at least two locals who do not know each other. I used a few locals who were a long enough distance away and who I arb’d for YEARS and always made a profit. Nice, huh?

There are two factors that contribute to the emergence of the . One is the bookmakers’ differentiation. According to some studies, sports arbitrage betting opportunities do occur for the fact that most bookmakers who do not possess the necessary expertise, knowledge and resources to closely follow the event tend to wait for the leaders to establish the market before adjusting their own betting odds. Also, sports arbitrage betting occurs because in every sports betting, there is always a third group of bookmakers who have their own views. Most of them even try to be attractive in offering above average odds, thus increasing the possibilities for sports arbitrage betting.

The second factor that triggers the occurrence of sports arbitrage betting is the so-called bookmaker hedging. This refers to the situation when the bookmaker seeks a hedge against a potential loss, thus creating an arbitrage.

Today, is gaining popularity. It is now accessible to everyday people because of the advent of the internet. However, there are some barriers that prevent everyone from being successful. After all, sports arbitrage betting is not effort-free. It still takes time, capital, organization and energy for you to make consistent profits.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - May 17, 2010 at 11:14 am

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Super Saver Goes For Second Jewel

Friday, May 14, 2010 By StatFox News Source

When the Kentucky Derby winner gets here for the Preakness Stakes, a groundswell of support often follows him. So it was last year with Mine That Bird, whose longshot win and obscure Western connections combined to make him an instant folk hero. Big Brown came to Pimlico in 2008 off an overpowering victory in the Derby, his Triple Crown quest gaining steam with every sentence uttered by his confident trainer, Rick Dutrow.

Funny Cide was an Everyman story, his owners, mostly high school chums from a small town in upstate New York, arriving in a yellow school bus to cheer on their plucky gelding. Smarty Jones was owned by an ailing car salesman who lived just up I-95 near Philadelphia, and came into the second leg of the Triple Crown having never lost a race.

And then there’s Super Saver.

He has all the requisite attributes of a worthy Derby winner. Super Saver was an accomplished stakes winner at 2, steadily progressed in his 3-year-old preps toward a peak performance in the Derby, gave jockey Calvin Borel his third Derby win in four years, and rewarded both trainer Todd Pletcher and his owners, the WinStar Farm of Bill Casner and Kenny Troutt, with their first Derby victory.

Yet Super Saver seemingly has yet to capture the public’s imagination as post time nears for the 135th Preakness on Saturday at Pimlico. Super Saver is the favorite on the morning lines set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper, and Frank Carulli, the linemaker at Pimlico, yet take a look at the selections of handicappers in this publication, and others, and you’ll see picks that are all over the map, reflecting the perception that even though Super Saver won the Derby by 2 1/2 lengths, he is by no means perceived as a standout in this $1omillion race.

What gives?

“Everybody’s looking for a story line,” Pletcher said outside the Pimlico stakes barn on Thursday morning. “Calvin won his third Derby, I got my first, and I think that took away somewhat from the attention on Super Saver. Funny Cide was a New York-bred, a Cinderella story. What I think got lost in the shuffle with Super Saver is the focus on some of the bad trips in the Derby. Super Saver got a good trip, but the reason he got a good trip is that he made his own trip with his tractability.”

It’s an argument familiar to those who shake their heads at those people who still think Alydar was better than Affirmed, or Easy Goer better than Sunday Silence. In those cases, as with Super Saver, the ability to work out a perfect trip because of contending early speed put them in a position that horses with less maneuverability could not get. On Saturday, Super Saver again figures to get an ideal trip.

But the 12-horse Preakness field is 40-percent smaller than at the Derby, so more horses should be afforded better trips, most notably Lookin At Lucky, who was severely compromised by drawing the rail in the Derby, in which he finished sixth as the favorite.

“He thought he was in a hockey game,” said Lookin At Lucky’s trainer, Bob Baffert. “He got checked into the boards.”

There also are seven horses in the Preakness who did not run in the Derby. They come into the race fresh, whereas the Derby horses are wheeling back in two weeks following a 20-horse rodeo on a sloppy, sealed racetrack at Churchill Downs.

“Two weeks matters to me,” said trainer D. Wayne Lukas, who sends out Dublin, who was seventh in the Derby, and fresh face Northern Giant. “It matters to every guy in here. We’re all concerned about it, their energy level coming back in two weeks.”

There should be plenty of energy at Pimlico. With local colleges letting out for the year around this time, a trip to the infield is a rite of passage in the area. Last year, prices were raised for admission and, more importantly, liquor restricted, leading to a connect-the-dots crowd in the infield, and an announced ontrack attendance of 77,850, the smallest announced crowd for the Preakness since 1983. This year, in an attempt to woo back that demographic, Pimlico has reduced prices, and offered a policy whereby an additional $20 payment to the infield Mug Club allows a patron a souvenir cup that yields unlimited refills. Cheers!

A local advertising campaign titled “Get Your Preak On” has generated plenty of publicity in the area. There are banners and signs with that slogan all around town. And while the phrase has been controversial to some, there is no doubt this advertising campaign has accomplished what it set out to do, bring attention to the biggest horse race in the state.

Can the Derby winner be a Super Freak? The distance of the Preakness, 1 3/16 miles – 110 yards shorter than the Derby – is obviously right up Super Saver’s alley. On paper, there is less early speed in the Preakness than the Derby. Super Saver has won races either on the lead or stalking, so he affords Borel options.

In the Derby, “he adapted to a fast pace,” Pletcher said.

“Any time Calvin needed to make a move, he was there.”

Lookin At Lucky has a new rider, Martin Garcia, who replaces Garrett Gomez. Look for Lookin At Lucky to be in a better early position. He breaks from post 7 after drawing the rail in the Derby.

In addition to Super Saver, Lookin At Lucky, and Dublin, others exiting the Derby are Paddy O’Prado, who was third, and Jackson Bend, who was 12th.

Nick Zito, Jackson Bend’s trainer, on Thursday morning said he would like to see his small colt “close to the pace” under jockey Mike Smith.

“I’d like to see him close up,” Zito said. “Mike’s got to keep an eye on the race.”

In addition to Northern Giant, there are six other horses in the Preakness – Aikenite, Caracortado, First Dude, Pleasant Prince, Schoolyard Dreams, and Yawanna Twist – who did not run in the Derby.

Caracortado is another who figures to attempt to secure a position stalking the early leaders.

“I’d like to try and put him in the race a little more,” said Mike Machowsky, who trains and is the co-owner of Caracortado.

The Preakness, whose post time is listed at 6:15 p.m. Eastern, is the 12th race on a 13-race card that begins at 10:45 a.m. The race will be seen live on NBC on a show beginning at 4:30 p.m. There is all-day coverage from Pimlico on HRTV.

The forecast for Saturday is terrific, a high temperature of 75 degrees and no chance of rain. The high Friday was forecast to be 87 degrees, but thunderstorms that evening were predicted to break the heat, then move out, leaving ideal weather for Saturday.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - May 15, 2010 at 11:04 am

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Beginner’s Bet Tracking & Statistical Relevance Database Coming Soon

Thank you all for your interest in this product! It is about 70% of the way complete and my list has blown up in the past month as demand for the sheet grows. For those of you who are unaware of what this product is–it is an excel spreadsheet created for those folks who are newer to sports betting and who want to track their long term performance. It is actually quite simple–we create the format and you input your data. It will have (among other things) a list of every game for the three major sports–MLB, NBA, and NFL. You plug in your bet, the dollar amount, and your results. Easy to use and simple enough to learn. If you would like to see more sports included, email us at the email address at the end of this post.

This will require a very basic understanding of excel and/or statistics. If you struggle with excel or don’t know it at all, we recommend two books. The first is the and the second is . Both books are excellent resources and are easy to understand. You certainly don’t need both; one or the other will do.

I would like some additional help and I am asking those of you interested to help in the process of finalizing this product. My only pressing question is this–the name of the database. I need a great one! You can email us your name for the product and we will grant the person who comes up with the best name for the database a free copy for themselves.

Please send any email correspondence to sharpside (at) live (dot) com.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - May 11, 2010 at 11:07 am

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Game 4: Orlando Magic Vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Pick

This series has been a joke. The series is also over. There is absolutely NO WAY the Hawks come back to win the series.

That said…..tonight’s game isn’t about the rest of the playoffs for the Atlanta Hawks. This game is about everything outside of the statistics sheets and the flash of playing in the NBA. After all, this team won 53 games in the regular season. All of the talk about the lack of chemistry with this team is a fallacy….you cannot win that many regular season games in this league without chemistry. They might not be a complete package right now, but they have the talent to win tonight’s game.

If they do not win tonight’s game, they (Atlanta) will cover the spread (+6.5). There are no dazzling statistics to inundate you with. There will be no hypotheticals. There is absolutely no pressure on this team to win this game and Orlando (as good as they are) loses a slight bit of focus tonight. Orlando shows that they are human and makes it a game for Atlanta. The Hawk fans have been hard on the team recently, and for good reason. Tonight though, they come with their ‘A’ game and so does the team.

This is the NBA folks. Any team, any day. Take the Hawks +6.5.

1 comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - May 10, 2010 at 3:45 pm

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A Variation Of The Martingale Sports Betting Systems for Betting Baseball

The Martingale sports betting systems do not work in today's betting environment. Variations on when to implement this sports betting system may increase your odds of winning sports bets when done so with proper research.


1 comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - April 3, 2010 at 10:22 am

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The Art and Science of Sports Betting Systems That Produce Profits

The statistics show that most individuals in the work force who earned a college degree earn, on average, more than their non-degree earning colleagues. The statistics also show that most individuals who pursued and acquired graduate school degrees earn more, on average, than their undergraduate degree earning colleagues. The reason? They invested in their education, learned how to apply the education they earned in their respective careers and are being compensated for their efforts. There is no better investment than in your education. When applied correctly, you too will be compensated for that investment.

I have seen it all in my day with respect to sports betting systems. Some do not work. Some are no longer relevant because of the rule changes in sports. Some sports betting systems work right away only to fail in the long run. The good news is their are plenty of excellent betting systems in existence right now. Those systems are making people TONS of money, and there are thousands of people who earn a living sport betting. I can assure you that the overwhelming majority of those who do earn a living betting sports have some type of system in place that they follow verbatim. This is how you turn the life you are currently living into the dream life you could only imagine. Implement the proper systems now and you can kiss the old you goodbye.

On the scientific side of , you can start out by breaking your bankroll into 4 blocks of $250. You are only going to work with one block to begin. You can bet 5% of that first block for any given game you bet. Once you have doubled that block, add it back to your total bankroll. Now you have $1250. Break that $1250 down into four blocks, rinse, and repeat. The percentages of your bankroll that you place on each bet is up to you but I work off of 5%. The same applies to your losing streaks–just adjust your bankroll down and work the system.

Since systems like Bookie Busters cover a multitude of sports, you can apply these systems across different sports and create multiple profit streams to accelerate your income producing venture. These systems do work and they will make you money but you won’t get there without the investment in your education. I’m no good at playing tennis because I didn’t invest any time or effort in it. I never learned it. This investment into my sports betting education was the best decision I have ever made. , when applied correctly, will make you money. The choice is yours.

1 comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - March 22, 2010 at 10:13 am

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Sometimes the Best Sport Bet is the One You Never Place

If you lost that first sport bet with a bad beat read this article from start to finish before considering placing that second sport bet. I am now your voice of reason. No sports betting system in the world will save you from making a rash decision about the next bet you place just to recoup your losses from the game before. Don’t place that next sport bet….at least not this second anyway.

Sure, that beat was inconceivable. It happens. It comes with the sports betting territory. Did you freak out when Research In Motion’s stock price was cut in half? You didn’t, did you? Even though it chopped your 401k up a bit? Well then, chalk it up as one loss and one loss only. There will be even more losses just as there will be more wins–some of those wins you should never have won either. Consider yourself even.

Of all the sports betting systems I have created in my lifetime, the sports betting systems that have worked the best had nothing to do with the actual game and everything to do with how I would react to the result. Yes, there are mathematical systems that are designed to win you 60% of all of the bets you place within that system, but the most important sports betting systems will win more than they lose. I am always baffled by people who can’t seem to come to grips with this fact, but I digress. Take solace in the fact that tomorrow, you will probably come out a winner! Every you place should be met with this frame of mind.

Now, you didn’t think I was going to be THAT harsh on you, did you? There are some of you who can’t resist. I know who you are. Been there, done that. For those of you who are going to chase that loss no matter what I preach, here is a strategy. Take one third of your normal bet size and place it on the team you like in game two. This way, you have action on the game but it won’t destroy you. Do NOT chase like this every night or you will lose every sport bet in the long run.

should not be difficult, but they should be implemented in a manner that protects you from yourself when they need to. Overcome enough of those bad beats and you will come out on top every time. If you are not using a sports betting system and betting blind, well, good luck. You’re gonna need it. For those of you who have taken the initial first step of implementing systems remember–sometimes the most important sport bet is the one you don’t place.

Brendon Zahrndt has seen and done it all in his sports betting career. While every sport bet is important, your approach to the outcome matters more than the itself.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - March 17, 2010 at 3:21 pm

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The Constitutional Case Against the Federal Sports Gambling Ban By Ross Everitt

The Federal ban on sports betting has been blasted by anyone who knows anything about the subject for a number of different reasons. Though the US professional leagues suggest that threatens the integrity of their games, the opposite is the case. This is important because there would still be no shortage of outlets for college sport wagering, be it offshore or with your local illegal bookmaker. The professional bookmaking industry is usually where any type of compromised or fixed game is discovered. Ultimately, the true injustice of banning lies in its contempt for the Constitution.

The Congress of the United States has shown very little respect for the Constitution in recent years. Were it to abide strictly by the role outlined for it by the founding fathers, the Legislative Branch of our government would have to relinquish any number of its powers in a variety of areas. The primary problem with our Congress is that it has increasingly become a collection of career politicians rather than a body representative of its constituency. Every increase in power at the Federal level must be brought about by a usurpation of state and local sovereignty and, more alarmingly, personal liberty.

The Federal prohibition of sports wagering which was enacted a few years back is of very dubious Constitutionality. Were it not for the grandfather clause, which allowed it to remain legal in jurisdictions in which it already existed, it would have certainly been struck down as unconstitutional on a number of different fronts. Ironically, the Nevada gaming industry wasn’t too concerned at the passage of this law; indeed, they certainly liked the fact that they could go about business as usual while potential competition from other states for the sports wagering dollar was completely curtailed.

Unfortunately, the mere fact that a proposed law or initiative is unconstitutional offers little protection for the citizenry. In fact, the concept of state sovereignty is one of the most important – and most abused – in the Constitution:

The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people.

The overriding concern of the writers and framers of the Constitution was that the personal liberty of the individual not be violated by a too-powerful central government. In other words, unless the power in question has been expressly given to the Federal government by the Constitution, and/or unless it has expressly been prohibited to the states (as in the case of treaty making) it is the right of each individual state to govern themselves as they see fit. If an individual state chooses not to regulate a certain activity, it is the right of each individual citizen to make their own decision.

So, you should be asking yourself at this point, where exactly does the Constitution delegate to the Federal government the right to make policy on sports gambling? The answer is that it doesn’t, and it is very questionable that they have the Constitutional authority to do so.

Fortunately for all freedom-loving Americans the founding fathers would beg to differ.

Sports gambling may seem a minimally important issue to some, but the erosion of liberty is an incremental danger. The danger to broader concepts of personal liberty may seem a million miles away, but with each additional law intended to protect us from this or that the Federal government becomes larger and more powerful and the rights of the sovereign states “and the individuals that comprise them” are shrinking and being weakened.

Ross Everett is a freelance writer experienced in travel, poker and . He is a staff handicapper for Anatta Sports where he is responsible for providing daily . In his spare time he enjoys fine dining, fencing and scuba diving. He lives in Southern Nevada with four dogs and a pet coyote.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - March 13, 2010 at 5:50 am

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