Middling is a word you’ll often hear when discussing sports wagering with , but what does it mean? Middling games one of the most effective ways to make money with sports betting (if you are sharp enough to find the opportunity and capitalize on it).
Below is an example of the art of :
On college football Saturday there is a game featuring The Ohio State Buckeyes versus the Cincinnati Bearcats. The game started with the Buckeyes as a 7 point favorite. That is an essential number in football because most touchdowns lead to 7 points for the team which scored that touchdown, therefore you see that number more frequently than other numbers. There is nothing here out of the ordinary to speak of (yet). As the game approaches, we start seeing some significant line movements, (and this may come as a surprise) but this occurs in college football games quite regularly, as there are tons of college football games to bet on every Saturday. Significant line movements happen for any number of reasons–the line for games is set early in the week and the game is played on Saturday so a lot can transpire between the two teams within that time frame.
All of sudden, The Ohio State Buckeyes find themselves favored by 10.5 points while they opened up at -7. What makes this stand out is that the spread for this game has increased by three and a half points. Three is the second magic number in college football betting (and in NFL betting as well). Always remember 7 and 3, and you will soon have a better understanding of what middling really means.
So, you’re a sharp bettor and you bet on the Buckeyes -7, but now the spread has improved to 10.5 – how would it affect you if you now placed a bet on Cincinnati +10.5? Since your will require you to bet $110 to win $100, you will eliminate the juice you pay for one. The bigger picture here is where this game ends up in the final score. Since you now have two bets on both sides of this same game, you have an opportunity to ‘middle’ the game and win twice. If the final score is Ohio State 28 Cincinnati 20, you have landed in the middle of the point spread and won big.
Since a large number of games each year tend to land on seven as the final spread, there is a high probability that you could win both bets on this game even if you took Cincinnati at +8.5 which would have been the likely third line movement for this game (assuming the spread moves in half point intervals) . You got them at +10.5 though, increasing the probability (substantially)that you would end up middling the game and cash both tickets.
You now have provided yourself with a wonderful chance to win the two wagers by using –by middling. This game has to end with a difference between 7 and 10 points for you to win both bets. These types of chances do not usually occur when there are only a few games that day, but on football Saturday for college football the opportunities arise more frequently than any other sport.
An effective way to make the most of this (not being able to predict line movements) would be to wager the favorite earlier (such as when the line opens up) and the underdogs later in the week because the majority of the cash is likely to be bet on the favorite. You have to suspect that you have an edge when you see an opening line that looks soft. This is where your handicapping skills will really drive your profits since the middling technique won’t work if you don’t have an edge. Start using these ‘middling’ methods to decrease associated risk and improve the possibility of a big win and you will generate much more income betting sports this year.