If you're gonna chase.....chase THIS.
Admit it. You’ve done it already.
You got moosed this weekend and it pissed you off so much that you blatantly threw another $200 or so on a team and a game you should probably never have an interest in in the first place.
In my non professional betting career, I have lost many a remote following that same lame brain bet chasing system-not to mention the money. As a professional of over 13 years now, I have learned not only to cut my losses, but to never watch the game in the first place. That’s a whole other topic in and of itself.
So you chased the bad beat and wouldn’t you know it, you lost that next bet too. Now you want to break something expensive. I say, let it go. The bet, I mean. Hey, if it destroying that beautiful brass statue in your indoor courtyard prevents you from chasing the next bet, break it. Chasing bets is the direct path to sports betting hell. It is guaranteed to bankrupt you and cause you more grief than you should have to deal with. Trust me–I’ve more than learned my lesson doing it.
Looking at your bankroll in sports betting as something that will grow over a long period of time with ups and downs along the way should deter you from chasing bets. What stock doesn’t have a down day? Surely your 401k has dipped in the past. Do you watch both in real time all the time? Of course not. Not watching the game you just bet on in real time is starting to sound pretty smart, isn’t it?
There are tons of chase betting systems in existence, but the worst type of chase bet is chasing a bad loss with another bad loss. This only complicates things even more. If you are simply throwing money on top of lost money to try and get back what you feel was ‘taken’ from you it’s probably not coming back the second time around either. Cut your losses. There isn’t a chase betting system on the planet that calls for doubling down blindly.
Remember the basics–solid handicapping, fundamental mathematics, money discipline. These sports betting systems are tried and true.
One plus one was three, wasn't it?
Many bettors have a tendency to ignore the basic rules of their sportsbook since most sports betting rules tend to be the same everywhere. Regardless, there are some cases that turn up that will make you tear your hair out if you don’t understand the important rules that have been set by a particular sportsbook.
Basically here, I’m talking about two cases where you will be left wondering “Did I just win?” The first illustration comes from figuring out when a game is considered complete in the eyes of a sportsbook.
When we’re talking about sports betting tips only occasionally will you see an NFL game called based on the weather conditions or the arena losing power in an NHL game, but it has indeed happened. The usual rules for these type of situations in the NFL, NBA, and NHL is when there is 5 minutes or less left in the match, then it’s considered the official ending.
Now this issue becomes even more important during the Major League Baseball season. Weather has canceled a countless number of games over the years and it is important to know when your game is final. If you have taken a money line in a game, it must go past five innings (or four and a half if the home team is ahead) for a game to be official.
However, just remember that it is different for run lines and totals. These two type of wagers must go the full 9 innings (or again, 8.5 if the home team is ahead) in order for the game to be complete. If you took the Red Sox up six runs for the game, and then it was called after 8 innings, then your wager would be considered void. This is a tough hit, but when these cancellations land in your favor, it can really save you big time.
The second illustration happens when a bettor pushes on a parlay or a teaser. The rules for these types of bets vary for every sportsbook. Some go with the notion that a push is a tie and the bet is canceled, or some will say that a push is a loss.
An important tip to remember is to be clear about the rules with your bookie before any problems like this come up. This is important because if you are using a local bookmaker, they often lean towards making the rules in their favor as compared to an online sportsbook where they tend to be more fair.
Just be sure to clear up any misconceptions you have with your bookmaker. I, and countless others have been burnt by this issue in the past, and it can really do serious damage as stakes go up. The point is, you don’t want the weather to be a contributor to you losing the pot!
Rules were meant to be broken.
Another Saturday, another crop of easy picks. What a life. We’ll keep this post short and sweet so you can continue your handicapping and beer drinking. Or so we can continue drinking and handicapping.
We have a guaranteed winner starting at noon tomorrow and the winning won’t stop until late in the evening! There are so many mismatches against the spread tomorrow we can hardly contain ourselves.
Single picks can be purchased below.
The triple play package can be found below.
Remember, two of the three games need to win in order for the package to win. Since the picks are guaranteed, if they lose, you get it all back.
Season Passes can be found below. This package has the best value, as you will receive two to four picks every week for the entire college football regular season. You get every pick before the bowl season starts. One time offer with no refunds. You get the entire game breakdown just as you would every other pick.
VIP’ers……you know just ‘about’ where to go to find your special package;)
Get at it folks….we have some serious money to win.
She's naked. Promise.
You have to handicap the NFL regular season much different than the preseason–you should know this already. Starters start and play the whole game, not just quarters or halves. The effort level of those starters is elevated, to an extent. Crowds become a factor. Refs have ironed out their kinks with the new rule changes. Adapt to the changes and you’ll make some money. But what do I look for?
What we will be looking for as Week One approaches:
How does the return of Revis affect the Jets/Ravens game, or the pattern of betting? And Houshmandzadeh joining the Ravens….does that neutralize the fact that Revis will see time?
Does the surprise showing of the Cleveland offense make them a sharp over bet (or a straight up winner, for that matter)?
The new rule that states the backfield referee must be ‘set’ before a play can be run….will the Colts suffer all season with this new rule change?
Does Dennis Dixon stand a chance running Pittsburgh’s offense against a good Atlanta defense?
Can Derek Anderson beat the spread (Cardinals -4) against Sam Bradford’s Rams?
Lot’s to consider. Let’s start with what NOT to look for:
1) What happened last year–don’t waste your time with this. Past performance is a poor measure of future results, especially against the spread. Remember the buddy you had in high school who still talks about the good ole days on the ball field and how easy it was to ‘bag’ the cheerleaders and blah blah blah? He still lives at home, doesn’t he? Sad. Don’t be that guy.
2) Injuries or starters that are out in Week One–the line was most likely set with these factors in mind. Don’t handicap your NFL betting twice….handicap your game with the understanding that lines take these things into consideration before hand.
3) Overs for the sake of betting the over—remember, the defense is always ahead of the offense when it comes to the NFL preseason carrying over to the regular season. When in doubt, look for a sharp under bet this week, for this reason.
What you should be looking for:
1) Surprises—will Detroit really lose double digit games AGAIN this year? Will they be equally horrible against the spread? Might they beat Chicago at Soldier Field? Look for the unexpected first, everything else second.
2) Weather—this should be an every week thing for you. By the way, hurricane season starts in Miami in November. Become your own Doppler radar when betting the NFL.
3) Second half overs—more points are scored in the fourth quarter than any other quarter. Where will the opportunities exist to cash in on some easy second half overs?
Every sports betting system should include some type of strategy that has been tested every year. Don’t test on the fly–you’ll learn the hard way. Rely on past data, like we have, to formulate your theory. Keep looking for unique opportunities and angles and play those angles once you are comfortable with what you have discovered.
We have opinions on every game during the first week of the season but only release our strongest opinions as our paid picks. Look for them in the coming days–they’re always guaranteed.
We see a plethora of easy money games to bet on this college football Saturday, but none we feel more confident about than this game right here! We have identified a mismatch that odds makers have left wide open and we jumped on it. We’ve been taking advantage of those lines for decades.
This season to date we are 3-0 and the winning continues on Saturday with this money maker.
Take this pick to the bank– we guarantee the winner. You heard me right, guaranteed. If the pick loses (it won’t) you get every penny back. No questions asked. Simple as that. College football betting has never been this easy.
terrell pryor throwing a pass
It’s finally here. The college football betting season is upon us. I have goosebumps as I type this. Not only because the college football season is the easiest for me to handicap, but because I am a fan of the game.
Usually, I don’t even watch the games I have a financial interest in nor do I read the paper the morning after to see what went right or wrong. College football, for me, is slightly different. There is something incredibly enduring about college students and fans alike getting together in droves to watch the team play. That type of celebration represents everything that is right with the world.
The season officially kicks off Thursday as the #2 Ohio State Buckeyes take on the unranked Marshall Thundering Herd. Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. eastern standard time.
For those of you betting this game, there will be some things you should seriously consider before making your final decision and we have to lowdown, right here.
The public perception of the Buckeyes for this game is that Jim Tressel isn’t the type of coach to run up the score of the game. Also, Ohio State’s opener last year was much too close for comfort against a pedestrian Navy football team. There are legions of individuals who don’t think Terrell Pryor should be getting anywhere near the amount of Heisman trophy ‘love’ that he currently garners. Sounds like slight over hype for the Buckeye machine.
Marshall comes into the season with optimism as their new coach, Doc Holliday. Doc Holliday was a former assistant coach at West Virginia and was also an assistant to Urban Meyer at Florida. Marshall is considered a middle of the road Conference USA team with experienced receivers and a spread offense mentality. They have some solid players, and have some decent recruits as a result of their recruiting efforts in the offseason.
From a betting perspective, all of the discussion has hinged on Ohio State and their conservative coach. There hasn’t been much of any discussion on how average this Marshall team is. Let’s face it, this team sucks. They aren’t going to give a top 5 team much of a fight. When the majority of the discussion for the Thundering Herd revolves around the coaching upgrade, with little discussion on the team itself, you know you have something. And sharp bettors do, in this case.
Ohio State returns the majority of their play makers on offense and has arguably the best defense in the nation. In most cases, the defense is ready sooner than the offense. That said, both Ohio State’s offense and defense are head and shoulders above a Marshall squad who will finish in the lower half of their division this year.
On one hand, I agree that Jim Tressel isn’t the type to run the score up out of respect for his opponent. On the other hand, I believe he has enough confidence in his star quarterback to allow him to make plays.
Our selection, and as a free pick to kick off the college football betting season, is Ohio State in the first half. The Buckeyes get at it early, and often. We agree that Tressel may not be interested in scoring 45 points, but this one gets away early.
Take the Ohio State Buckeyes in the First Half.
the rain affects an nfl cheerleader
We are two weeks into the NFL Preseason and the landscape of the current NFL regular season is slowly coming into view.
We’re pretty sure that even after the few amount of games played you have looked at the end result of the games (and the bets you placed) and thought ‘wow, that didn’t go the way I had planned’….and so goes when betting the NFL.
That is what makes the NFL preseason so dynamic, but this is why betting against the ‘norm’ will put money in your pocket, not take money out of it.
Some of the observations we have made after two preseason weeks in the NFL:
First team offense playing against second team defense
There have been a few games where the first string offense comes out after the second team defense has reached the field. Advantage? Offense, naturally. Hints have been given to this strategy in the reports from local papers. If you are skilled enough to find this information (it isn’t as hard as you think) you might have an advantage.
First team defense playing against second team offense
Ditto. See above. Coaches and players talk about these things more loosely in the preseason and anyone who catches wind of that information would be considered to have some valuable if you were going to bet the NFL preseason.
Starting quarterback playing only one series
See: Brett Favre. There was a tremendous amount of hype surrounding Favre’s return to the field. This drove tons of money to the Vikings. When we see that type of swing in betting we always look the other way, if we felt like we have an advantage knowing that Favre probably wouldn’t play much. Let’s face it, he’s been in camp one week-if that. Did you really expect him to play a full quarter, much less a full half?
The rain has had an impact already. The Browns Rams match up went under 37 , but barely. All reports from this game spoke of the Browns offensive game plan airing it out with the first and second team QB’s. The Rams game plan was to get Bradford more attempts to go down the field and showcase his arm. While the game started out with a good amount of points, the weather changed those strategies or at least it slowed it down.
So what should you be looking at for NFL preseason week 3 bets?
Start looking at games and lines that don’t look quite right to you. Go and read the local reports for both teams and try and discover what their game plans might look like. They might speak about their intentions as the week goes on. If you can hold out until the broadcast starts, and the bet deadline hasn’t been met, the broadcasters will shed insight into what those game plans are. Some teams will run with the starters for an entire half. Some teams will play their first teamers for the first series of the third quarter.
What coaches want to win at all costs, preseason or not? Think Belichick.
Is the second team for Team A stronger than the second team for Team B? Start looking into who these players are and what the coach has in store for those teams in week 3. NFL preseason betting is easier to handicap once you equip yourself with knowledge you can acquire with minimal research.
NFL Week Two Winners, Please.
We have an opinion. It’s a strong opinion. We told you that this year was going to be one of our strongest–and to start off the year we are 3-0.
Every NFL pick package we offered last week was a winner! That’s right. We plan on winning these picks also.
Sorry, folks. The discount was for Week One only. This week we have winners for one of the games played today, August 19th, 2010 and one of those games played fit into our NFL teaser bet special–so you have to get it today if you are going to make money with this pick!
NFL Preseason Week Two Single Game Pick: $25
NFL Preseason Week Two Teaser Special: $35
Get in on the action now! Betting the NFL has never been easier. We have well researched system picks that win consistently every year–the patterns never change and the results stay the same as well. we wouldn’t waste our efforts if it were any other way. Stick with us, kid. You’ll go far.
Golden Systems Bookie Buster
The following is a study on Frank Belanger’s claims that you need only learn one sports betting system to have a winning strategy. In this update, we will include the pros and cons of Frank Belanger’s strategies for winning a bet. I mean lets face it, a bold declaration that you will never experience a loss during a betting game is something I would like to see a little bit of proof with.
is now more widely known as a book author, but his early career was spent gambling and betting sports. We should all be so lucky. Specifically, Frank Belanger specializes in professional and is well regarded for his consistent winnings–something most people don’t experience in a sports betting lifetime. He put in years of trial and error, testing hypotheses after hypotheses. He won, lost, and won again, all the while continuing to refine simple strategies that always seem to work. Frank Belanger has now consolidated the research he performed in his career and transformed that winning prowess into a book called the .
With the , it is said that you can now give up on collecting and struggling on how to make sense of whatever data one can find to predict future winners. The reader will also have the ability to bet without any sports handicapping skills but still achieve instant winnings. If you have read this book, you would also understand how it is virtually impossible to lose a betting game according to Frank Belanger.
Of course, if you want to talk such big and expensive talk, you’d better be sure to walk the big and expensive walk- which is exactly what the author did. Prior to the Bookie Buster book release, Frank Belanger had already made $100,000 in 2 years simply based on the theories contained in the Bookie Buster. Now take a moment to think about how much simpler your life would be if you could make $100,000 in the next 48 months betting sports without slugging out long hours at the office.
However, as with any form of commitment, pros and cons come along as well. The is 160 pages long, but the good thing is that each page is an easy read accompanied with easy to understand formulas. For the newbies and the curious minded, there is also a comprehensive but simple introduction to the world of sports betting. The chapters will change slightly when the updates are released, some are added, some are discarded, but the sports betting systems stay the same.
After that, Frank Belanger spends no time and dives straight into the formulas and other various staking plans you should learn based on the different sports and risk levels a gambler is willing to take. As he is a professional sports betting guru, Frank Belanger is also able to explain to you how you can use his strategies in not only one but twenty five separate sports betting systems. Do take note that Frank Belanger’s strongest point though is baseball gambling.
As you read the book you will also come to realize that the provides a flexible sort of betting criteria for the reader. There are guides on how you can win the game if you are a high risk taker with short term wants. But there are also tips on how you can make a profit if you want minimum risk but in long term returns.
In case you get confounded about the formulas and theories given, Frank Belanger also includes real life examples on how he had used certain tactics during a bet as well. And now, we get to the cons of this Review- which is that while the winning probability of the Bookie Buster is high, it is highly important to note that it is not exactly 100% proof against losing some money in the short term. You win overall, but it won’t be at a rate of 100%. It is also imperative to remember that this is not a get-rich-quick book, it is a book that requires hard work, patience and dedication from the reader for you have to master the book before you can actually start winning in sports betting.
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NFL Sports Betting Systems
We get countless emails from people all over the world looking for an edge in their strategy. The majority of those sports betting systems center around the NFL. It is a popular sport and it generates hundreds of millions of betting dollars each season.
There are a number of simple variables we look for when compiling our and we will let you in on what those variables are here.
First–we look long and hard at every home underdog. We measure the relative strength of the starters on both sides of the ball for the home underdog and the one-on-one match-ups between offense and defense. We factor in the home fan support as well.
The lines are set at the very beginning of the week. It is impossible to predict what the weather conditions will be the following Sunday or Monday. As the reports come in, we make early decisions when we suspect rain will become a factor in an NFL game. A wet ball is much more difficult to play with than strong wind. Anyone who watched last nights preseason game in Miami would tell you–rain is an equalizer. It effects totals (more unders) in a big way.
Traveling from the West Coast to the East Coast
This is one of our favorite variables. No should exclude this factor. West Coast teams that have to travel to the East Coast and play the 1:00 p.m. game have a much harder time covering the spread, historically. Think about it….that team just traveled 5 hours across the country and are now expected to play a game that is really being played at 10:00 a.m. (according to the traveling teams body clock). That East Coast team, no matter how bad, has an advantage.
This is just a start–we have hundreds of sports betting systems that we work into our strategy. These three are tried and true and will help you if you cannot find a starting point in your sports betting strategy.
, especially NFL systems, are essential if you are going to win money betting sports. Start out by doing some additional research yourself on the sports betting systems listed above. Then, combine those systems with additional betting systems that others have already created. Compare and contrast your research. Continue to retest those betting systems until you have found one that you know will give you the biggest advantage. Rinse and repeat.