Betting The NFL–Sports Betting Systems For Week One Of The Regular Season
You have to handicap the NFL regular season much different than the preseason–you should know this already. Starters start and play the whole game, not just quarters or halves. The effort level of those starters is elevated, to an extent. Crowds become a factor. Refs have ironed out their kinks with the new rule changes. Adapt to the changes and you’ll make some money. But what do I look for?
What we will be looking for as Week One approaches:
How does the return of Revis affect the Jets/Ravens game, or the pattern of betting? And Houshmandzadeh joining the Ravens….does that neutralize the fact that Revis will see time?
Does the surprise showing of the Cleveland offense make them a sharp over bet (or a straight up winner, for that matter)?
The new rule that states the backfield referee must be ‘set’ before a play can be run….will the Colts suffer all season with this new rule change?
Does Dennis Dixon stand a chance running Pittsburgh’s offense against a good Atlanta defense?
Can Derek Anderson beat the spread (Cardinals -4) against Sam Bradford’s Rams?
Lot’s to consider. Let’s start with what NOT to look for:
1) What happened last year–don’t waste your time with this. Past performance is a poor measure of future results, especially against the spread. Remember the buddy you had in high school who still talks about the good ole days on the ball field and how easy it was to ‘bag’ the cheerleaders and blah blah blah? He still lives at home, doesn’t he? Sad. Don’t be that guy.
2) Injuries or starters that are out in Week One–the line was most likely set with these factors in mind. Don’t handicap your NFL betting twice….handicap your game with the understanding that lines take these things into consideration before hand.
3) Overs for the sake of betting the over—remember, the defense is always ahead of the offense when it comes to the NFL preseason carrying over to the regular season. When in doubt, look for a sharp under bet this week, for this reason.
What you should be looking for:
1) Surprises—will Detroit really lose double digit games AGAIN this year? Will they be equally horrible against the spread? Might they beat Chicago at Soldier Field? Look for the unexpected first, everything else second.
2) Weather—this should be an every week thing for you. By the way, hurricane season starts in Miami in November. Become your own Doppler radar when betting the NFL.
3) Second half overs—more points are scored in the fourth quarter than any other quarter. Where will the opportunities exist to cash in on some easy second half overs?
Every sports betting system should include some type of strategy that has been tested every year. Don’t test on the fly–you’ll learn the hard way. Rely on past data, like we have, to formulate your theory. Keep looking for unique opportunities and angles and play those angles once you are comfortable with what you have discovered.
We have opinions on every game during the first week of the season but only release our strongest opinions as our paid picks. Look for them in the coming days–they’re always guaranteed.
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2010 NFL Preseason Week One Games–Tons Of Value Early
We never used to bet preseason NFL games. We wouldn’t even bother checking the lines. We would work feverishly at constructing regular season NFL betting systems up until the hour before the regular season kickoff.
Then, a funny thing occurred while applying the research we were conducting for the regular season lines to the preseason. The statistics were overwhelmingly in our favor (in the preseason) for some NFL betting systems we had originally discovered for the regular season. Strange, I know.
We went back and tested the sports betting systems for 20 years of NFL preseason games and the patterns we were seeing in early line setting was consistent with data we could manipulate in our favor. Thus, our NFL preseason betting system was born.
There are certain factors that we always consider when betting preseason NFL games. They are:
Home Field Advantage
Turf Teams vs. Grass Teams
Last Year’s Hype
Strength Of Reserves
Weather (Rain) Where Applicable
This is a short list, but there are quite a bit of conclusions to draw from each of those categories. We could write full chapters on each variable, but that would bore even the most astute statistician in the room. The bottom line on all of that is when searching for value in your number the aforementioned list should never be overlooked.
The first NFL preseason game in 2010 is Dallas vs. Cincinnati. An interesting matchup, even if only interesting for one quarter. T.O. and Ochocinco on the field together. T.O.’s tumultuous past with the Cowboys. Boy are the Bengals in for a surprise this season. Terrell Owens simply cannot help himself. I mean he is already bragging that he is the sole reason attendance has exploded at the Bengals training camp. Poor Carson Palmer. Hey, it looks good on paper.
Cinci -2.5
Dallas +2.5
This is a no play for us since it is being played on a neutral field. Had this game been played in Dallas and the line stayed the same, we may have looked for some teaser options with some of the other (yet to be released) lines for NFL preseason week one betting.
There may be value in that line, but with just one game on the card we will wait patiently for the rest of the numbers to post. If you bet during the NFL preseason, try and get in on the action early. There will be plenty of soft lines that you will easily catch before the ‘airmoves’ take place. Consider the strength of the reserves–they play the majority of the game in week one.
We favor point spread betting to totals when betting NFL preseason games, unless rain will be a factor. It is harder to find value in the totals for the early preseason games because the first team plays infrequently.
If you are interested in our preseason NFL betting system, simply sign up on the right hand side of our site. It is a high value NFL betting system that we have been using for almost a decade now. Not only will you get the winning picks, you get the system with it.
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The 2010 NFL Betting Season Is Just Around The Corner
It is time to start thinking about football season. I know I can’t wait. Want to bet on your favorite football team soon? NFL online sports betting is now available in the form of futures bets for win totals as well as NFL week one lines for the 2010 NFL football season. Several sportsbooks that accept regular NFL wagers on sporting events around the world are beginning to offer those NFL bets for you to place.
Before I mention some well-known sites on the internet that offer NFL online sports betting, I bet you would be pleased to discover that hundreds of people from around the world consider NFL online sports betting as its rise in popularity extends outside of the United States. Tons of sports betting systems have been created worldwide around the NFL betting season. It is also a fact that NFL online sports betting offers football fans many more benefits than your local bookie could possibly offer.
Examples of those benefits are phone lines that don’t stay backed up with calls, and no worrying about collecting payments or deposits. I would be surprised if you found a local bookie who took prop bets or futures bets as well. Aside from that, NFL online sport betting allows you to obtain signup bonuses and even reduced vig (juice) on certain days, as well as free bets at times through customer appreciation comps or player rewards programs.
Betting NFL online sports betting early in the season gives you the chance to obtain some favorable lines or odds. So, unlike your local bookies that know they can railroad you on a betting line for the reason that they’ve recognized that they are the only sports bookie available in town, online-based NFL sports betting provides betting lines that are similar but can also vary considerably—which leads to arbitrage opportunities as well as middling opportunities.
Now, if you are really interested to know where exactly online you can bet on your favorite football team, consider the following sports books. These sports books are said to be two of the largest NFL online sports betting sites available.
BetEd Sportsbook has long been considered as a 5-star NFL online sports betting portal by many sports betting enthusiasts. Perhaps what sets BetEd Sportsbook apart from its counterparts is the fact that they are much more financially solid (than their online sportsbook counterparts) and will undoubtedly pay your winnings upon request. As they were looking for seed money in the early stages of their development they were able to solidify a financial agreement with a heavy hitter in the sports betting industry. This loan acquisition was of an amount that guaranteed keeping them in operation long after their launch and allowed them to focus on growth and not breaking even in three months. Aside from that, this sports betting site has a huge player base and is well-managed—it’s all sports betting industry veterans running the show there.
Today, BetEd Sportsbook offers up to $250 in bonuses for their bettors—almost unheard of in today’s bonus arena. They also process deposits by way of allowing their customers to employ their checking accounts if they wish to consider instant transfer of funds.
Sportsbook.com
Sportsbook.com is one of the best NFL online sports betting books available on the web. Here, you will encounter faster payouts and they have a lengthy history online (they started in November 1998) which has long been appreciated by thousands of players. They are a familiar face on the sports betting block. Also, this NFL online sports betting site has a solid reputation for acquiring deposits and they offer a reduced vig (juice) betting option on Fridays, and reduced juice is more financially beneficial to a sports bettor than a lot of other incentives.
Sportsbook.com also offers money lines on every single game and they grade games fast which means that your winnings are deposited into your account quickly and easily. Their website interface is user friendly. You can enjoy in-game betting, more prop bets than most sportsbooks and free bets as an incentive to have more action.
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A Variation Of The Martingale Sports Betting Systems for Betting Baseball
The Martingale sports betting systems do not work in today's betting environment. Variations on when to implement this sports betting system may increase your odds of winning sports bets when done so with proper research.
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The Art and Science of Sports Betting Systems That Produce Profits
The statistics show that most individuals in the work force who earned a college degree earn, on average, more than their non-degree earning colleagues. The statistics also show that most individuals who pursued and acquired graduate school degrees earn more, on average, than their undergraduate degree earning colleagues. The reason? They invested in their education, learned how to apply the education they earned in their respective careers and are being compensated for their efforts. There is no better investment than in your education. When applied correctly, you too will be compensated for that investment.
I have seen it all in my day with respect to sports betting systems. Some do not work. Some are no longer relevant because of the rule changes in sports. Some sports betting systems work right away only to fail in the long run. The good news is their are plenty of excellent betting systems in existence right now. Those systems are making people TONS of money, and there are thousands of people who earn a living sport betting. I can assure you that the overwhelming majority of those who do earn a living betting sports have some type of system in place that they follow verbatim. This is how you turn the life you are currently living into the dream life you could only imagine. Implement the proper systems now and you can kiss the old you goodbye.
On the scientific side of sports betting systems, you can start out by breaking your bankroll into 4 blocks of $250. You are only going to work with one block to begin. You can bet 5% of that first block for any given game you bet. Once you have doubled that block, add it back to your total bankroll. Now you have $1250. Break that $1250 down into four blocks, rinse, and repeat. The percentages of your bankroll that you place on each bet is up to you but I work off of 5%. The same applies to your losing streaks–just adjust your bankroll down and work the system.
Since systems like Bookie Busters cover a multitude of sports, you can apply these systems across different sports and create multiple profit streams to accelerate your income producing venture. These systems do work and they will make you money but you won’t get there without the investment in your education. I’m no good at playing tennis because I didn’t invest any time or effort in it. I never learned it. This investment into my sports betting education was the best decision I have ever made. Sports betting systems, when applied correctly, will make you money. The choice is yours.
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Sometimes the Best Sport Bet is the One You Never Place
If you lost that first sport bet with a bad beat read this article from start to finish before considering placing that second sport bet. I am now your voice of reason. No sports betting system in the world will save you from making a rash decision about the next bet you place just to recoup your losses from the game before. Don’t place that next sport bet….at least not this second anyway.
Sure, that beat was inconceivable. It happens. It comes with the sports betting territory. Did you freak out when Research In Motion’s stock price was cut in half? You didn’t, did you? Even though it chopped your 401k up a bit? Well then, chalk it up as one loss and one loss only. There will be even more losses just as there will be more wins–some of those wins you should never have won either. Consider yourself even.
Of all the sports betting systems I have created in my lifetime, the sports betting systems that have worked the best had nothing to do with the actual game and everything to do with how I would react to the result. Yes, there are mathematical systems that are designed to win you 60% of all of the bets you place within that system, but the most important sports betting systems will win more than they lose. I am always baffled by people who can’t seem to come to grips with this fact, but I digress. Take solace in the fact that tomorrow, you will probably come out a winner! Every sport bet you place should be met with this frame of mind.
Now, you didn’t think I was going to be THAT harsh on you, did you? There are some of you who can’t resist. I know who you are. Been there, done that. For those of you who are going to chase that loss no matter what I preach, here is a strategy. Take one third of your normal bet size and place it on the team you like in game two. This way, you have action on the game but it won’t destroy you. Do NOT chase like this every night or you will lose every sport bet in the long run.
Sports betting systems should not be difficult, but they should be implemented in a manner that protects you from yourself when they need to. Overcome enough of those bad beats and you will come out on top every time. If you are not using a sports betting system and betting blind, well, good luck. You’re gonna need it. For those of you who have taken the initial first step of implementing systems remember–sometimes the most important sport bet is the one you don’t place.
Brendon Zahrndt has seen and done it all in his sports betting career. While every sport bet is important, your approach to the outcome matters more than the sport bet itself.
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Golden Systems Bookie Buster is a sports betting newbie’s dream
Sports betting systems, no matter the strategy, are vital to longevity in sports betting. If implemented correctly, such as the ones discussed here, will produce the profits you are looking for.
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John Morrison the Sports Betting Champ’s Systems…97% Win Rate??
If it looks like you know what and it smells like you k
now what…….etc etc. While I would venture to say that it is impossible to go 97% all you have to do is go into every sports betting forum on the internet to see that there are a lot of people using these sports betting systems. There must be something that works with the Sports Betting Champ’s systems so I would not pass up an opportunity to make money. Of all of the sports betting systems that exist today this system is the most discussed and probably the most widely used. Every sports betting forum that is worth it’s weight in gold has multiple forum topics on the Sports Betting Champ and the systems he uses. My suggestion? Buy it. Once you have figured out how to use them, manipulate the systems based on your sports betting preferences and your systems will turn out, well, golden.
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